A 1-0 defeat to Argentina on Friday marked Brazil’s fifth match without a win since lifting the Copa América back in the summer (D3, L2). Each of those five matches separated the teams by under 1.5 goals, and both defeats in this sequence saw Brazil concede the loser in the first or final 15 minutes.
Brazil’s last five outings have also seen them concede an average of 0.4 penalty goals per-match. This has contributed to the fact that Brazil has now lost the first half by a one-goal margin in three (60%) of their last five matches. However, their current H2H record against South Korea (W4, L1) may provide some source of inspiration.
Unbeaten in nine matches (W5, D4), South Korea will be full of confidence as they look for a famous result against the ‘Seleção’. The three wins within that sequence to yield a winning margin of under 1.5 goals were all friendlies, with a 2-1 win over another CONMEBOL side ranked in FIFA’s current top-ten (Colombia) amongst them. [Read more…]